Posts: 8,998
Threads: 4
Joined: Jun 2018
Reputation:
55
06-05-2021, 04:43 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-05-2021, 04:44 PM by Strawberry Avenger.)
(06-05-2021, 01:29 PM)Widdow Wrote: (06-05-2021, 12:11 PM)Strawberry Avenger Wrote: (06-05-2021, 12:08 PM)Widdow Wrote: Will CH improve is 30% win rate against Preston on Saturday??
When was the last time Nottingham Forest brought in a quality striker, Widdow?
And how much did they pay for him?
SA.
Grabban, at £6m
Well past is sell by date now, club should have been proactive and sold last summer. You know they couldve bought Toney for just £5m last year, but clubs transfer strategy is bad (dont listen to me), and Hughton thought Murray was the answer in Janaury, mind you his 2 goals against Wycombe probably helped to save us this season, so guess he was right.
What the club could have done in the years since they bought Grabban aren't on Hughton.
He clearly didn't think Murray was a long term answer. It's obvious to any novice that bringing in Murray was a stop gap to ease the situation with injury hit Grabban (3 injuries this season?), the out of form Lyle.
And though Murray hasn't scored a hat full he did secure a mighty fine brace which helped give Forest a confidence boosting win and a vital set of 3 points at the right time.
With a manager with a track record of goals at Brighton, we'd expect Hughton to build on Forest's defensive resolve this Summer with a swat team of goal scorers.
SA.
Posts: 10,953
Threads: 56
Joined: Jun 2018
Reputation:
61
(06-05-2021, 02:15 PM)Widdow Wrote: Look can be positive.
There are obviously issues going forward (which I think can be rectified this summer) buti do think it goes under the radar just how good Forest are defensively now. It isn't always backs-to-the-wall either, it's often a complete nullification of the opposition before they even get to our box. Some more positive defensive stats:
-5th best defence in the league
-Taken the lead 14 times and won 12 of those
-15 clean sheets (more than last season)
-No meaningful goals conceded in injury time (compared to 1 million last season)
-Only one team has scored 3 against us in a game
It's a rock solid foundation. Add in 2-3 good attacking recruitments, lot more pace, creative midfielders, Mighten a year further in his development, Johnson rejuvenated after his loan, a fresh start for Lolley and a full pre-season and I am confident that we can make the improvements required and like i have said at least Hughton knows whats required
Did someone steal your login details?! :D
All sounds great to me, that's without a decent left back either and with Figs playing a lot of games despite a number of high profile errors.
Posts: 8,998
Threads: 4
Joined: Jun 2018
Reputation:
55
06-05-2021, 04:48 PM
(This post was last modified: 06-05-2021, 04:53 PM by Strawberry Avenger.)
(06-05-2021, 02:15 PM)Widdow Wrote: Look can be positive.
There are obviously issues going forward (which I think can be rectified this summer) buti do think it goes under the radar just how good Forest are defensively now. It isn't always backs-to-the-wall either, it's often a complete nullification of the opposition before they even get to our box. Some more positive defensive stats:
-5th best defence in the league
-Taken the lead 14 times and won 12 of those
-15 clean sheets (more than last season)
-No meaningful goals conceded in injury time (compared to 1 million last season)
-Only one team has scored 3 against us in a game
It's a rock solid foundation. Add in 2-3 good attacking recruitments, lot more pace, creative midfielders, Mighten a year further in his development, Johnson rejuvenated after his loan, a fresh start for Lolley and a full pre-season and I am confident that we can make the improvements required and like i have said at least Hughton knows whats required
Nullification of the opposition. I'd take that over the knee jerk, life and death Russian roulette of the last 20 years.
I like this post. It made good reading. :cool:
That's the take away from Hughton's 'builder' 1st season. Build a solid foundation and build from the back.
I wouldn't mind what he did at Brighton to take Forest back.
Watching Brighton from afar (a club that didn't even have their own ground a while back...) it looked very exciting what was happening to them under Hughton. Character. Goals. Consistency.
I don't know what Forest were doing at the time for me to be looking enviously at Brighton. But they were winning. And they were scoring goals. And they had a decent league position.
They even got promoted.
SA.
Posts: 8,998
Threads: 4
Joined: Jun 2018
Reputation:
55
(06-05-2021, 04:44 PM)wassy04 Wrote: (06-05-2021, 02:15 PM)Widdow Wrote: Look can be positive.
There are obviously issues going forward (which I think can be rectified this summer) buti do think it goes under the radar just how good Forest are defensively now. It isn't always backs-to-the-wall either, it's often a complete nullification of the opposition before they even get to our box. Some more positive defensive stats:
-5th best defence in the league
-Taken the lead 14 times and won 12 of those
-15 clean sheets (more than last season)
-No meaningful goals conceded in injury time (compared to 1 million last season)
-Only one team has scored 3 against us in a game
It's a rock solid foundation. Add in 2-3 good attacking recruitments, lot more pace, creative midfielders, Mighten a year further in his development, Johnson rejuvenated after his loan, a fresh start for Lolley and a full pre-season and I am confident that we can make the improvements required and like i have said at least Hughton knows whats required
Did someone steal your login details?! :D
All sounds great to me, that's without a decent left back either and with Figs playing a lot of games despite a number of high profile errors.
I like them bullet points.
Wait until we add goal scorers to that.
It will be game on.
SA.
Posts: 2,459
Threads: 15
Joined: Jun 2018
Reputation:
14
(06-05-2021, 04:44 PM)wassy04 Wrote: (06-05-2021, 02:15 PM)Widdow Wrote: Look can be positive.
There are obviously issues going forward (which I think can be rectified this summer) buti do think it goes under the radar just how good Forest are defensively now. It isn't always backs-to-the-wall either, it's often a complete nullification of the opposition before they even get to our box. Some more positive defensive stats:
-5th best defence in the league
-Taken the lead 14 times and won 12 of those
-15 clean sheets (more than last season)
-No meaningful goals conceded in injury time (compared to 1 million last season)
-Only one team has scored 3 against us in a game
It's a rock solid foundation. Add in 2-3 good attacking recruitments, lot more pace, creative midfielders, Mighten a year further in his development, Johnson rejuvenated after his loan, a fresh start for Lolley and a full pre-season and I am confident that we can make the improvements required and like i have said at least Hughton knows whats required
Did someone steal your login details?! :D
All sounds great to me, that's without a decent left back either and with Figs playing a lot of games despite a number of high profile errors.
Well already given you the most important stat. A 30% win rate
Also, only 3 teams in the whole football league scored less goals (Brum, Derby and Southend).
And lest not forget the dire football
He does have something to build on, but I remain unconvinced by the manager, let’s see what he does in the summer market. No excuses after that, although if he stays, he has to stay to end of the season, or May as well sack him now.
Everyone is entitled to my opinion - COYR :)
Posts: 897
Threads: 0
Joined: Jul 2019
Reputation:
0
06-05-2021, 11:40 PM
(This post was last modified: 07-05-2021, 12:03 AM by Sabricadabra.)
Win rate isn’t the most important stat. It’s a cherry picked unbalanced stat without also quoting loss rate.
The most important stat is the number of points accrued and position in the table. Everything else is secondary.
We over achieved last season and were in free fall at the beginning of this. Hughton has stabilised the slide towards relegation, brought some much needed defensive resilience, and built a platform to build on for next season.
We are a work in progress, 7 months into his tenure, but it’s been a solid and encouraging start.
Posts: 4,894
Threads: 128
Joined: May 2018
Reputation:
41
(06-05-2021, 11:40 PM)Sabricadabra Wrote: Win rate isn’t the most important stat. It’s a cherry picked unbalanced stat without also quoting loss rate.
The most important stat is the number of points accrued and position in the table. Everything else is secondary.
We over achieved last season and were in free fall at the beginning of this. Hughton has stabilised the slide towards relegation, brought some much needed defensive resilience, and built a platform to build on for next season.
We are a work in progress, 7 months into his tenure, but it’s been a solid and encouraging start.
I agree with you there Sabri.
For example, a 30% win rate, coupled with a draw rate of 60% and 10% loss rate, whilst not brilliant, isnt too bad a figure compared to lets say a 40% win rate with a draw rate of 10% and a loss rate of 50%.
The 30% win rate example i have used would give a total of 69 points, which is maybe just outside the play offs, whilst the 40% win rate example would only afford 60 points (actually 59.8, so figure rounded up), which would probably be a mid table finish.
It's how you dress these figures up to which way you want to put across your argument. All %'s have to be taken into consideration to make a valid argument, not just the part that supports the argument.
As Sabri has indicated, the most important stat is total amount of points won and where that leaves us in the table.
"It's Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that's right on time, it's Trickay, It's Tricky, Tricky, Tricky Tricky" - Run DMC
Posts: 8,998
Threads: 4
Joined: Jun 2018
Reputation:
55
(06-05-2021, 11:40 PM)Sabricadabra Wrote: Win rate isn’t the most important stat. It’s a cherry picked unbalanced stat without also quoting loss rate.
The most important stat is the number of points accrued and position in the table. Everything else is secondary.
We over achieved last season and were in free fall at the beginning of this. Hughton has stabilised the slide towards relegation, brought some much needed defensive resilience, and built a platform to build on for next season.
We are a work in progress, 7 months into his tenure, but it’s been a solid and encouraging start.
Well said that man. :cool:
SA.
Posts: 12,047
Threads: 16
Joined: Jun 2018
Reputation:
115
(06-05-2021, 11:40 PM)Sabricadabra Wrote: Win rate isn’t the most important stat. It’s a cherry picked unbalanced stat without also quoting loss rate.
The most important stat is the number of points accrued and position in the table. Everything else is secondary.
We over achieved last season and were in free fall at the beginning of this. Hughton has stabilised the slide towards relegation, brought some much needed defensive resilience, and built a platform to build on for next season.
We are a work in progress, 7 months into his tenure, but it’s been a solid and encouraging start.
Agree with all of that Sabri apart from the we over achieved last season bit. Ive seen that said by a number of people and I think it’s rubbish, we finished 7th and thats where we deserved to be. Sure we sh*thoused our way to a few wins but were unlucky other games too. But importantly there were some wins against the top teams Fulham, Leeds etc where we were utterly dominant and reached a level far higher than we ever achieved this season. For that reason I get annoyed when people slag off your namesake, he did remarkably well. Hughton is a slow work in progress and I hope next season will be much better.
Posts: 465
Threads: 0
Joined: Dec 2018
Reputation:
1
I never understand the ‘we overachieved’ or even this season teams like Barnsley have overachieved by reaching the play offs. You finish in the league table where you deserve to finish.
Posts: 1,819
Threads: 1
Joined: Aug 2018
Reputation:
27
07-05-2021, 11:55 AM
(This post was last modified: 07-05-2021, 11:59 AM by PsychoStanleyStone.)
(07-05-2021, 08:39 AM)TheGreenMan Wrote: I never understand the ‘we overachieved’ or even this season teams like Barnsley have overachieved by reaching the play offs. You finish in the league table where you deserve to finish.
if CH manages the team with the same template ((s) though let's face it, it was 1 fixed template), a template which is fixed is actually anti management, a fixed template nullifies pretty much everything, the same system every single game, that is really like treating every team as being superior, most decisions he did make were reactive. the subs and captains armband and depth of squad in certain areas weren't deemed of any significant benefit. Same for setting up differant for differant opponents, we set up exactly the same, this is totally unacceptable to me and more akin to a template for mediocrity and disappointment than excellence.
Look, we have to make some sort of sense of last season, some of us, particularly me think the squad was overall capable of much more. The moral, team spirit, motivation is the managers job and that worked but only really as far as not getting relegated, same with the 'template', maybe it was a managerial masterstroke, maybe the plan was 'just don't get relegated' if so i'd like to know, it could be the case, maybe has to be.
What will change next season? Besides some promoted new kids on the block and other teams getting there acts together, and being highly motivated and chomping at the bit to get one over on us. I can imagine that many teams will be happy with point at the City Ground which could mean booing at HT and not enough to fire up the fans
Posts: 897
Threads: 0
Joined: Jul 2019
Reputation:
0
07-05-2021, 12:17 PM
(This post was last modified: 07-05-2021, 12:18 PM by Sabricadabra.)
(07-05-2021, 08:33 AM)Salvatore Matrecano Wrote: (06-05-2021, 11:40 PM)Sabricadabra Wrote: Win rate isn’t the most important stat. It’s a cherry picked unbalanced stat without also quoting loss rate.
The most important stat is the number of points accrued and position in the table. Everything else is secondary.
We over achieved last season and were in free fall at the beginning of this. Hughton has stabilised the slide towards relegation, brought some much needed defensive resilience, and built a platform to build on for next season.
We are a work in progress, 7 months into his tenure, but it’s been a solid and encouraging start.
Agree with all of that Sabri apart from the we over achieved last season bit. Ive seen that said by a number of people and I think it’s rubbish, we finished 7th and thats where we deserved to be. Sure we sh*thoused our way to a few wins but were unlucky other games too. But importantly there were some wins against the top teams Fulham, Leeds etc where we were utterly dominant and reached a level far higher than we ever achieved this season. For that reason I get annoyed when people slag off your namesake, he did remarkably well. Hughton is a slow work in progress and I hope next season will be much better.
I agree he did a good job, and of course you’re right that a team finishes where they deserve to in the table. I was speaking more generally in terms of our place in the financial pecking order, which is around 12/13th. So as a club 7th is higher than would be expected all other things being equal.
|