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09-02-2023, 12:27 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-02-2023, 12:28 PM by Mcforest.)
It is expected that Fulham will line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with a view to carry out a high press in the opposition half. In order to accommodate the high press Fulham play with a high defensively line and are drilled in playing for the offside. Fulham are a team that likes to attack with width with most attacks down their right hand side. Playing with main striker of Aleksandar Mitrovic or Carlos Vinícius they will attempt crosses often and early to try and unsettle teams with defenders running back to their own goal to mark the early forward runs of the strikers.
As a team Fulham like to be aggressive in the middle of the park to win the ball back and then quickly move the ball wide to attack. However this all action and aggressive midfield also means as a team the patterns of play become panicky and rushed. This results in them losing the ball back as much as they win it. In these situations it would actually be better for forest to defend space rather than the players and look to intercept the passes rather than win the tackle.
Fulham are very dangerous is set play situations with 28% of all goals being a result from a set play so far this season. They have a lot of high and strong bodies which they overload at the back post for corners and free kicks. Forest will need to manage the runners effectively in these positions as on average they win 10 set plays in dangerous positions a match while playing at home.
After some reviews there are some key areas forest can take advantage of in this match. Firstly the high defensive line Fulham play allows for balls in behind the full back areas for players to run into especially on the counter attack. In fact Fulham have to put in average of 18 last ditch tackles per game due to the high line. 18 may sound like they recover well but more than 50% of those tackles are made due to the striker having to cut back onto preferred foot to striker or poor cross and the keeper is able to collect the ball.
The other area which Forest can benefit from is long range efforts. Fulham when in defensive situations in their third of the pitch like to defend deep to prevent progression into the 18 yard box. However this results in defence not stepping out from this line with a dropping striker. Players in and around the box will find more time to turn and either get a striker away or play a through ball if we have someone will to gamble.
Stats time
The most common score at halftime is 1-0 Fulham 64% of games
Most common final score is 2-1 Fulham 38% of games
73% chance that both teams score when Fulham are at home
Result record is Fulham 7, Draw 1, Forest 5
On past matches forest are 52% more likely to score first in this match but with 38 shots required per away goal this is reduced to 34% on seasonal form.
Likely result 2-0
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(09-02-2023, 12:27 PM)Mcforest Wrote: It is expected that Fulham will line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with a view to carry out a high press in the opposition half. In order to accommodate the high press Fulham play with a high defensively line and are drilled in playing for the offside. Fulham are a team that likes to attack with width with most attacks down their right hand side. Playing with main striker of Aleksandar Mitrovic or Carlos Vinícius they will attempt crosses often and early to try and unsettle teams with defenders running back to their own goal to mark the early forward runs of the strikers.
As a team Fulham like to be aggressive in the middle of the park to win the ball back and then quickly move the ball wide to attack. However this all action and aggressive midfield also means as a team the patterns of play become panicky and rushed. This results in them losing the ball back as much as they win it. In these situations it would actually be better for forest to defend space rather than the players and look to intercept the passes rather than win the tackle.
Fulham are very dangerous is set play situations with 28% of all goals being a result from a set play so far this season. They have a lot of high and strong bodies which they overload at the back post for corners and free kicks. Forest will need to manage the runners effectively in these positions as on average they win 10 set plays in dangerous positions a match while playing at home.
After some reviews there are some key areas forest can take advantage of in this match. Firstly the high defensive line Fulham play allows for balls in behind the full back areas for players to run into especially on the counter attack. In fact Fulham have to put in average of 18 last ditch tackles per game due to the high line. 18 may sound like they recover well but more than 50% of those tackles are made due to the striker having to cut back onto preferred foot to striker or poor cross and the keeper is able to collect the ball.
The other area which Forest can benefit from is long range efforts. Fulham when in defensive situations in their third of the pitch like to defend deep to prevent progression into the 18 yard box. However this results in defence not stepping out from this line with a dropping striker. Players in and around the box will find more time to turn and either get a striker away or play a through ball if we have someone will to gamble.
Stats time
The most common score at halftime is 1-0 Fulham 64% of games
Most common final score is 2-1 Fulham 38% of games
73% chance that both teams score when Fulham are at home
Result record is Fulham 7, Draw 1, Forest 5
On past matches forest are 52% more likely to score first in this match but with 38 shots required per away goal this is reduced to 34% on seasonal form.
Likely result 2-0
Great preview of what we might see on Saturday. I’d add that they pick up a lot of yellow cards, particularly with Reed, Palhinha and Decordova-Reid, as well as at full back. Hopefully we can get in their faces and Johnson and MGW can draw some fouls on the break
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Confident we will get something from this match.
Panic on the streets of London
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If Forest can nick an away win would it be wrong of me to cast an eye towards 7th?
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(10-02-2023, 08:42 AM)McDurban Wrote: If Forest can nick an away win would it be wrong of me to cast an eye towards 7th?
Yes
Panic on the streets of London
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(10-02-2023, 08:42 AM)McDurban Wrote: If Forest can nick an away win would it be wrong of me to cast an eye towards 7th?
Wow, we've only scored one away goal against Bournmouth, Southampton and Everton so far this season. The rest of the games have been pretty much dire. Off the back of that record expecting to win is maybe a step too far. Imo best result is 0-0 because if they score, we've lost.
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(10-02-2023, 10:00 AM)Paplane Wrote: (10-02-2023, 08:42 AM)McDurban Wrote: If Forest can nick an away win would it be wrong of me to cast an eye towards 7th?
Wow, we've only scored one away goal against Bournmouth, Southampton and Everton so far this season. The rest of the games have been pretty much dire. Off the back of that record expecting to win is maybe a step too far. Imo best result is 0-0 because if they score, we've lost.
Ha I think the true position is somewhere in between you two!
Are we going back to this away record thing again? We've played harder away games than home, hence the disparity. We scored at Bournemouth and Southampton in our two most recent away league games. We can definitely score at Fulham, we can definitely score at Fulham. They are obviously favourites but I expect a close game. I wonder if McKenna will dominate Mitrovic again (if I'm remembering that right?)
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(10-02-2023, 10:22 AM)wassy04 Wrote: (10-02-2023, 10:00 AM)Paplane Wrote: (10-02-2023, 08:42 AM)McDurban Wrote: If Forest can nick an away win would it be wrong of me to cast an eye towards 7th?
Wow, we've only scored one away goal against Bournmouth, Southampton and Everton so far this season. The rest of the games have been pretty much dire. Off the back of that record expecting to win is maybe a step too far. Imo best result is 0-0 because if they score, we've lost.
Ha I think the true position is somewhere in between you two!
Are we going back to this away record thing again? We've played harder away games than home, hence the disparity. We scored at Bournemouth and Southampton in our two most recent away league games. We can definitely score at Fulham, we can definitely score at Fulham. They are obviously favourites but I expect a close game. I wonder if McKenna will dominate Mitrovic again (if I'm remembering that right?)
We’re gonna score twice then?
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(10-02-2023, 10:39 AM)Salvatore Matrecano Wrote: (10-02-2023, 10:22 AM)wassy04 Wrote: (10-02-2023, 10:00 AM)Paplane Wrote: (10-02-2023, 08:42 AM)McDurban Wrote: If Forest can nick an away win would it be wrong of me to cast an eye towards 7th?
Wow, we've only scored one away goal against Bournmouth, Southampton and Everton so far this season. The rest of the games have been pretty much dire. Off the back of that record expecting to win is maybe a step too far. Imo best result is 0-0 because if they score, we've lost.
Ha I think the true position is somewhere in between you two!
Are we going back to this away record thing again? We've played harder away games than home, hence the disparity. We scored at Bournemouth and Southampton in our two most recent away league games. We can definitely score at Fulham, we can definitely score at Fulham. They are obviously favourites but I expect a close game. I wonder if McKenna will dominate Mitrovic again (if I'm remembering that right?)
We’re gonna score twice then?
:Laugh: :Laugh: :Laugh:
It's more of a pre-game mantra for the players (similar to a scene from Mike Bassett if anyone recognises)
We can score at Fulham, we can score at Fulham, we can score at Fulham
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I'll be more than happy with a point here, however Fulham fans seem to think it's an easy three points for them, so 3 points will do me
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Need to get in their faces early doors and ruffle the feathers - listening to a few podcasts they expect the win and pushing for europe.
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(10-02-2023, 10:52 PM)nffc93 Wrote: I'll be more than happy with a point here, however Fulham fans seem to think it's an easy three points for them, so 3 points will do me
I think every clubs fans think they should get 3 points against us.
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