11-05-2021, 10:39 AM
(11-05-2021, 09:43 AM)wassy04 Wrote:(11-05-2021, 09:01 AM)Salvatore Matrecano Wrote: A bit unfair that on Grabban, no way you can pin the poor season on him. Yes he has missed a few sitters, all strikers do but the service he has had has been woeful this season for the most part. It wasnt that much better last season, it was under appreciated how well he did as our only striker, played every game and 20 goals. I dont have the stats to hand of how many chances and xG etc but Im sure it was pretty good. He has dropped off this season yes but the whole team has. Someone put a few weeks ago Toney would have struggled with us this year, agree with that.
Been looking for some stats as I know last season I saw one that showed Grabban with the second most clear cut chances missed in the league behind Patrick Bamford. Obviously worth acknowledging that Grabban's all round game is excellent and he offers a lot to the team beyond his goal threat.
I've found some stats, they're not amazing but give an indication of a clear drop off.
His %shots on target has dropped from 37% to 27%, his total shots per game has actually gone up from 2.16 to 2.31, however shots on target % has gone down from 0.81 to 0.63. The biggest one that shows a decline is goals per shots on target has dropped from 0.46 to 0.29.
For an unfair comparison Toney had a %shot on target of 43% and goals per shots on target of 0.36.
I don't think these are amazing stats as there's a number of things that could cause the decline such as shooting less and from weaker positions. A better stat would be % of clear cut chances or xG players stats (you've got to pay for those though!)
However it's fairly clear there is a clear drop off this season and his total shots per game hasn't even gone down which perhaps belies the suggestion he had loads worse service.
Thanks, very interesting. I didn't need to look up those stats to know what you've just confirmed there. I've seen it with my own eyes, he's struggled this season. Yes, there may be mitigating reasons for this but his finishing has dropped off. Every single week CH comes out after a game and laments the team's lack of goals. He doesn't point the finger at Grabban, but the issue is mentioned, almost every week.
And Salv, I agree that last season (Sabri's season), he was excellent and his game is much more than scoring, but his drop off in this regard has cost us.